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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Monopoly_Money | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (161–47, n=208) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$22K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #832 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (10 of 12 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=27 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 185 at avg 65¢, ROI −2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 18% of 33) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 79% of 19) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 71% of 31) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 94% of 102) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Monopoly_Money | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $11K | Yes $169K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $36K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | No $90K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $18K | No $40K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | Yes $4.1K | — | — |