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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NM-PprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (1103–1294, n=2397)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL-$13K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #645PM monthly #51PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (62 of 90 open)63% (5 of 8 open)60% (109 of 181 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNM-PprimmRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Tomas Machac $128—Arthur Fils $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $267—No $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K—Over $1.5K
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $327—Thunder $273
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $301—Over $255
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $166—Under $147
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $179—Under $120
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $180—Over $90
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K—No $6.1K
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $3.8K—No $3.0K
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan $333Eastern Michigan $6.2K—
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $156Under $3.0K—
Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1K—No $765
Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $50—No $2.6K
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan $446Eastern Michigan $2.0K—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $311—No $677
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $336—76ers $240
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $172—Raptors $246
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $185—Over $86
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $123—Under $124
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $185—Over $19