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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | NM-P | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 56% (8110–6385, n=14495) | 50% (1244–1255, n=2499) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | -$217K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #377 | PM monthly #56 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (40 of 50 open) | 75% (106 of 142 open) | 68% (13 of 19 open) | 55% (65 of 118 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 4135 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 6% (won 100% of 257) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 21% (won 100% of 860) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 21% (won 100% of 888) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 52% (won 100% of 2130) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
29 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | NM-P | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $219K | Over $556 | Over $10K | Over $1.4K |
| Giants vs. Eagles opposite sides · consensus Giants | Giants $179K | — | Eagles $736 | Eagles $777 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $166K | Cowboys $233 | — | Cowboys $977 |
| Cowboys vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Colts $114K | — | Colts $5.1K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Giants $107K | — | Eagles $73 | Giants $4.2K |
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | Rams $332 | Commanders $221 | Rams $66 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $632K | No $4.2K | — | No $55K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $93K | Cowboys $253 | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $22K | — | — | Cowboys $115 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $236 | — | No $2.5K |
| Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $861 | — | Over $991 |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $298 | Over $867 | — |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $309 | — | Over $417 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $187 | — | Under $349 |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $290 | — | Yes $18 |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $139 | — | Yes $108 |
| Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $114 | — | Yes $96 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $179 | — | No $16 |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $10 | Rams $172 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $7 | — | Under $131 |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1 | — | Yes $97 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $3.9K | — | No $96K |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Giants $65K | Giants $271 | — | — |
| Lions vs. Dolphins same side · consensus Lions | — | — | Lions $47K | Lions $2.0K |
| Raiders vs. 49ers same side · consensus 49ers | — | 49ers $898 | 49ers $40K | — |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $20K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-9.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $21K | — | — | Chiefs $867 |
| Spread: Rams (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Rams $19K | — | — | Rams $1.5K |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.2K | — | No $12K |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $761 | — | Yes $14K |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $8.7K |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907? same side · consensus No | — | No $331 | — | No $5.2K |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $914 | Under $4.1K |
| Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $777 | — | No $4.0K |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.0K | — | No $3.6K |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.3K | — | Under $2.3K |
| Spread: Lions (-6.5) same side · consensus Lions | — | Lions $466 | Lions $2.5K | — |
| Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $331 | — | Yes $1.8K |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $836 | — | No $1.1K |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 3 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $453 | — | No $1.4K |
| Spread: Lions (-14.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | — | — | Dolphins $1.6K | Dolphins $3 |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $896 | — | Under $402 |
| Spread: Saints (-3.5) same side · consensus Saints | — | Browns $485 | — | Browns $681 |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 2 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $260 | — | No $819 |
| Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $435 | Under $111 | — |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $375 | — | No $164 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $296 | — | No $176 |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 2 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $81 | — | No $355 |
| Will Vitória SC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $88 | — | Yes $121 |