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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NOO-Yes | primm | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 38% (5–8, n=13) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | -$14K | $3.6M | $14.9M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #417 | PM monthly #44 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #54 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 56% (29 of 52 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 12 at avg 38¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 50% of 2) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 67% of 3) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NOO-Yes | primm | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | T1 $928 | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $225K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $48K | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $153K |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $45K | — | Timberwolves $44K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $5.8K | Bears $25K | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $10K | Over $736 | — |