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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Onomatopoeia777BreakTheBank00gringo000x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Record (consensus markets)50% (71–70, n=141)45% (542–652, n=1194)75% (6–2, n=8)41% (1101–1609, n=2710)
Consensus PnL$198K$10.6M$3.5M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #487PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #410
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position90% (147 of 164 open)no open consensus position53% (31 of 58 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +34 pts n=15, ROI +36%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=39, ROI +8%
  • NBA +10 pts n=23, ROI −11%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicMLB −5 pts, n=32———
Settled positions, side won56% of 158 at avg 47¢, ROI −3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%—
Entries under 30¢16% (won 16% of 25)10% (won 82% of 56)0%—
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 52% of 56)36% (won 98% of 198)0%—
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 73% of 67)35% (won 99% of 191)100% (won 86% of 7)—
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 70% of 10)19% (won 100% of 107)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketOnomatopoeia777BreakTheBank00gringo000x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $274K—No $3.3K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $202K—No $214
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $85K—Yes $348
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $33K—Yes $3.8K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $28K—No $885
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22K—Yes $897
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6K—Yes $161
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $230—Yes $9