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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Optimus- | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (997–640, n=1637) | 62% (395–247, n=642) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $94K | $4.5M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (34 of 63 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (147 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −4 pts, n=48 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 58% of 1605 at avg 53¢, ROI +6% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 18% of 473) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 43% of 242) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 65% of 314) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 93% of 576) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Optimus- | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $443 | — | — | No $671K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.0K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.1K | — | — | Yes $274K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.0K | — | — | Yes $172K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $517 | — | — | Yes $81K |