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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| QMG-CORE | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 80% (1006–255, n=1261) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $130K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #826 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 97% (74 of 76 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=57 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 1751 at avg 79¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 8% of 279) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 40% of 47) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 67% of 63) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 98% of 1362) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | QMG-CORE | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.9K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.8K | Yes $1.1K | — | — |