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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Qualitative | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (429–335, n=764) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (32 of 32 open) | 86% (54 of 63 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −3 pts, n=106 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 58% of 1126 at avg 55¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 10% of 262) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 40% of 186) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 66% of 239) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 90% of 439) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Qualitative | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.5K | No $202K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $44K | — | Eagles $1.3K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $188K | — | Commanders $3.9K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $206 | Yes $14K | — | — |