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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RLWGRN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (5910–6260, n=12170)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$17K$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #645PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus51% (31 of 61 open)56% (89 of 158 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won94% of 759 at avg 52¢, ROI +46%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 50% of 46)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 92% of 190)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 98% of 473)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 50)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRLWGRN1
Vikings vs. Lions
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Vikings $18Lions $21K
Spread: Buccaneers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $29Falcons $9.0K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Raiders $59Jets $7.2K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $19Over $4.7K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $5Raiders $4.3K
Spread: Buccaneers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $2Falcons $1.3K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $86Bills $22K
Spread: Cowboys (-13.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $2Cardinals $11K
Browns vs. Steelers
same side · consensus Steelers
Steelers $7Steelers $6.0K