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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (70 of 132 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (75 of 104 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Steelers $1.9K | — | Browns $297K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $12K | — | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | Bills $28K | — | Bills $378K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $18K | — | Bills $51K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K | — |