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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Railcool | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (88–74, n=162) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $125K | $4.5M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #701 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (10 of 19 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (79 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 92 at avg 55¢, ROI +29% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 38% of 26) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 56% of 9) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 90% of 21) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 97% of 36) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Railcool | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.3K | — | — | Yes $38K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.5K | — | — | No $24K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $471 | — | — | No $88K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $271 | — | — | Yes $72K |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $15K | — | — | No $747 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $13K | — | — | Yes $2.2K |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.7K | — | — | No $10K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $55 | — | — | Yes $14K |