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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Seutervoinen | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (327–52, n=379) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $116K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #593 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (45 of 54 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=79 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 360 at avg 85¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 3% of 30) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 42% of 12) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 83% of 6) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 87% (won 98% of 312) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Seutervoinen | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.6K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $176 | — | — | No $118K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $21K | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $27K | — | Commanders $1.1M |