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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SlenderMan | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (228–68, n=296) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $510K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #450 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (18 of 18 open) | 72% (79 of 109 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (24 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=210 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 72% of 326 at avg 72¢, ROI −3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 10% of 60) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 50% of 26) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 50% of 20) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 94% of 220) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SlenderMan | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | — | Ravens $696 |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | — | Jets $284 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $2.1K | — | Ravens $376 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $378K | — | Bills $395 |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $171K | — | Raiders $5.8K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $31K | No $40K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cardinals $1.1K |