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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Snoorrason | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (685–1392, n=2077) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $201K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (3 of 9 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=58 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 34% of 2321 at avg 31¢, ROI +11% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 68% (won 9% of 1574) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 56% of 127) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 62% of 84) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 98% of 536) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Snoorrason | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.2K | Yes $274K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $15K | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $195 | Yes $36K | — | — |