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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Snoorrason | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (685–1392, n=2077) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $201K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (3 of 9 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (50 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=58 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 34% of 2321 at avg 31¢, ROI +11% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 68% (won 9% of 1574) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 56% of 127) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 62% of 84) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 98% of 536) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Snoorrason | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4.2K | — | — | Yes $270K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $15K | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $197 | — | — | Yes $34K |