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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SunflowaRebuildYear | BreakTheBank | CORGII | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (335–93, n=428) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #485 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 29% (2 of 7 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 281 at avg 48¢, ROI +54% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 9) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 58% (won 100% of 164) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 102) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SunflowaRebuildYear | BreakTheBank | CORGII | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $455 | Commanders $44K | — | Eagles $1.3K |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Commanders $1.4K | — | — | Eagles $858 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $5.2K | Commanders $1.1M | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $188K | — | Commanders $988 |