Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SunflowaRebuildYearCORGIIbeachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)81% (323–75, n=398)62% (393–245, n=638)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$34K$4.5M$5.8M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #485PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus67% (10 of 15 open)0% (0 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)72% (79 of 109 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won100% of 281 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 9)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢58% (won 100% of 164)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 102)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 6)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSunflowaRebuildYearCORGIIbeachboy4BreakTheBank
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.1K——Bills $51K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $805——Bills $2.1K
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $770——Browns $297K