← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SunflowaRebuildYear | CORGII | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 81% (323–75, n=398) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $4.5M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #485 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (7 of 10 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 53% (62 of 117 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 281 at avg 48¢, ROI +54% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 9) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 58% (won 100% of 164) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 102) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SunflowaRebuildYear | CORGII | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.1K | — | — | Bills $18K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $818 | — | — | Under $2.2K |
| Spread: Bengals (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $1.2K | — | — | Titans $696 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | — | Under $7.2K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $41 | — | — | Ravens $647 |