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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TAIWANNUMBERONE | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (1232–959, n=2191) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $569K | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #454 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (15 of 27 open) | 72% (73 of 102 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 1191 at avg 60¢, ROI +39% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 98% of 55) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 99% of 275) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 551) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 100% of 310) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TAIWANNUMBERONE | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | No $747 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.7K | No $590 | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $2.3K | Bills $51K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $978 | Yes $37K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $797 | No $35K | — |