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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
TAIWANNUMBERONEBreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)56% (1232–959, n=2191)45% (526–640, n=1166)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$569K$10.6M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #454PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus48% (12 of 25 open)74% (73 of 98 open)no open consensus position50% (11 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 1191 at avg 60¢, ROI +39%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 98% of 55)10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 99% of 275)36% (won 98% of 192)50% (won 100% of 5)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 551)35% (won 99% of 187)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 100% of 310)20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketTAIWANNUMBERONEBreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $6.1KChiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K
Spread: Rams (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.2K——Rams $849
Spread: Rams (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $2.9K——Rams $768
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6KNo $747——
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.7KNo $590——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $978Yes $37K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $797No $35K——