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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TAIWANNUMBERONE | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (1232–959, n=2191) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $569K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #454 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (8 of 19 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 1191 at avg 60¢, ROI +39% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 98% of 55) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 99% of 275) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 551) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 100% of 310) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TAIWANNUMBERONE | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | — | — | No $747 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.7K | — | — | No $590 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $978 | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $797 | — | — | No $35K |