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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TAIWANNUMBERONE | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (1256–970, n=2226) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $661K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #454 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 37% (7 of 19 open) | no open consensus position | 81% (58 of 72 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 1191 at avg 60¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 98% of 55) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 99% of 275) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 551) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 100% of 310) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TAIWANNUMBERONE | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | Eagles $683 | — | Commanders $161K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $25K | — | Commanders $1.0M | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $913 | — | Yes $36K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $756 | — | No $34K | — |