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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (289–152, n=441) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.6M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #140 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (42 of 51 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −4 pts, n=86 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 424 at avg 61¢, ROI +7% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 9% of 123) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 49% of 47) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 83% of 41) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 91% of 213) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TheReturnOfDarthMaul | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $71K | — | No $202K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.9K | — | No $253K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $57K | — | Yes $85K |