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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
UpTheBluesCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)49% (17998–18484, n=36482)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$4.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #7PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus62% (122 of 196 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=942, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=66, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 99% of 2645)9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 7907)56% (won 99% of 223)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 100% of 8513)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 18795)2% (won 100% of 7)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketUpTheBluesCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $559——Chiefs $465K
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $4.0K——Chiefs $152K
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz
Legacy $870TheMongolz $2.2K——
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $55——Magic $51K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $104——Magic $13K
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
same side · consensus DENDELE CS
Imperial $78Imperial $7.9K——