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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Valen9 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (347–206, n=553) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $235K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #639 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (31 of 50 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (52 of 61 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Esports −16 pts, n=16 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 658 at avg 67¢, ROI +2% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 7% of 129) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 42% of 59) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 72% of 67) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 61% (won 93% of 403) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Valen9 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $47K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | — | Yes $274K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $23K | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.7K | — | No $26K | — |