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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Valen9BreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)63% (347–206, n=553)45% (537–650, n=1187)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (986–968, n=1954)
Consensus PnL$235K$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #639 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus62% (31 of 50 open)85% (52 of 61 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicEsports −16 pts, n=16———
Settled positions, side won69% of 658 at avg 67¢, ROI +2%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 7% of 129)10% (won 82% of 56)0%5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 42% of 59)36% (won 98% of 198)0%42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 72% of 67)35% (won 99% of 191)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up61% (won 93% of 403)19% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketValen9BreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $47KNo $202K——
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2KYes $274K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23KYes $170K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.7KNo $26K——