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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
VeryLucky888BreakTheBank00gringo00RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (26675–19314, n=45989)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$417K$10.6M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus61% (51 of 84 open)75% (71 of 95 open)no open consensus position75% (9 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNBA −3 pts, n=1814———
Settled positions, side won53% of 17564 at avg 54¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 22% of 1995)10% (won 85% of 53)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 43% of 5894)36% (won 98% of 192)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 58% of 5883)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 78% of 3792)20% (won 100% of 107)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVeryLucky888BreakTheBank00gringo00RN1
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $39Commanders $12K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.7K——Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.1K——No $2.6K
Eagles vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $5.3KCommanders $269K——
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $3.5KCommanders $139K——
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $3.4KCommanders $45K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $164——Over $3.0K
Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna
same side · consensus Nicolas Bruna
Nicolas Bruna $73——Nicolas Bruna $17