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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
VeryLucky888CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (28225–20332, n=48557)62% (395–247, n=642)56% (101–79, n=180)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)
Consensus PnL$417K$4.5M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #373PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus52% (49 of 94 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −3 pts, n=1826———
Settled positions, side won53% of 17872 at avg 54¢, ROI 0%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 22% of 2019)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 42% of 5996)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 58% of 5987)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 78% of 3870)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketVeryLucky888CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
opposite sides · consensus Mary Stoiana
Venus Williams $16——Mary Stoiana $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.4K——No $7.7K
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Dune Vaissaud
opposite sides · consensus Isabella Shinikova
Isabella Shinikova $1.2K——Dune Vaissaud $273
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti $5.8K——Lorenzo Musetti $48K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
same side · consensus Mariano Navone
Mariano Navone $2.2K——Mariano Navone $3