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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
WeBuyHighWeSelllowBreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)54% (4410–3739, n=8149)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL-$241K$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #891PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus69% (27 of 39 open)71% (73 of 103 open)no open consensus position59% (19 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 3962 at avg 61¢, ROI +30%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 93% of 136)10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 95% of 1112)36% (won 98% of 192)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 98% of 1430)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 100% of 1284)20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketWeBuyHighWeSelllowBreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $585Bills $378K——
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Ravens $696
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.1K—Ravens $376
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $420——Under $1.2K
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $13——Under $1.4K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.6K——Over $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $146——Colts $313