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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| XAE12Archangel | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (362–228, n=590) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $159K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (20 of 26 open) | 33% (4 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 86% (54 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −14 pts, n=25 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 83% of 958 at avg 81¢, ROI −5% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 5% of 119) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 43% of 37) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 72% of 36) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 80% (won 97% of 766) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | XAE12Archangel | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $945 | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $31K | — | Commanders $1.1M |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.8K | — | — | No $34K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $18 | — | — | Yes $15K |