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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Xeny | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (409–349, n=758) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) | 48% (12851–13947, n=26798) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $86K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (15 of 18 open) | 72% (83 of 116 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −4 pts, n=27 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 975 at avg 39¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 8% of 479) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 40% of 122) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 74% of 126) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 98% of 248) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Xeny | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.9K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.4K | No $36K | — | — |