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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Zaratustra | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (324–201, n=525) | 47% (13860–15341, n=29201) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $65K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #706 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (55 of 67 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 89% (146 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −1 pts, n=56 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 446 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 5% of 98) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 41% of 39) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 64% of 77) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 92% of 232) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Zaratustra | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $118 | — | — | No $253K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $9.2K | — | — | Yes $32K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | — | — | No $29K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.1K | — | — | Yes $274K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | — | Yes $172K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $196 | — | — | Yes $83K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $86 | — | — | Yes $14K |