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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Zaratustra | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (319–200, n=519) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) |
| Consensus PnL | $65K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #706 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (52 of 65 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −1 pts, n=56 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 446 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 5% of 98) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 41% of 39) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 64% of 77) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 92% of 232) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Zaratustra | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $123 | — | No $250K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $9.0K | — | Yes $34K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | — | No $32K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.0K | — | Yes $270K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $200 | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $87 | — | Yes $14K | — |