Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
aaabbbCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)61% (449–282, n=731)62% (393–246, n=639)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (537–650, n=1187)
Consensus PnL$209K$4.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #766PM monthly #68was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus58% (7 of 12 open)33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position79% (57 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +30 pts n=190, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=84, ROI +13%
  • NFL +17 pts n=189, ROI +3%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won74% of 652 at avg 55¢, ROI +5%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 26% of 123)9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 59% of 111)56% (won 99% of 223)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 91% of 186)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 93% of 232)2% (won 100% of 7)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketaaabbbCORGII00gringo00BreakTheBank
Eagles vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Eagles $410——Commanders $1.0M
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.9K——No $250K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.6K——No $34K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.8K——Yes $36K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K——Yes $15K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $103——Yes $164