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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| alex20011 | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (2858–2672, n=5530) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12899–14013, n=26912) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) |
| Consensus PnL | $196K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #41 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (26 of 36 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 74% (75 of 101 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=209 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 72% of 1358 at avg 71¢, ROI +10% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 10% of 230) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 50% of 123) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 146) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 63% (won 93% of 859) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | alex20011 | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $15K | — | — | Yes $39K |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.7K | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $6.4K | — | — | No $35K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $5.5K | — | — | No $23K |