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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
analdesutructorFlaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)77% (226–66, n=292)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL-$75K$4.1M$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998PM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensus25% (1 of 4 open)71% (139 of 197 open)no open consensus position51% (20 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won99% of 218 at avg 62¢, ROI +38%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 12)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 97% of 64)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 100% of 52)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 90)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketanaldesutructorFlaznorpjoseph00677primm
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $2.0KChiefs $5.4K—Chiefs $48K
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
Commanders $1.4KCommanders $320—Commanders $285
Browns vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Saints
Saints $369——Browns $113
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $63—Colts $5.7K