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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| anoin123 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (291–293, n=584) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.3M | $13.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (55 of 91 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 481 at avg 79¢, ROI −11% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 61% of 41) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 83% of 23) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 76% of 50) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 367) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | anoin123 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $27K | — | No $112K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $25K | — | Yes $81K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $20K | — | No $34K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $3.4K | — | No $278K | — |