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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BiggggggggBreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market17% (1482–7247, n=8729)41% (589–853, n=1442)63% (1095–631, n=1726)
Consensus PnL—$564K$7.7M$4.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #2PM monthly #118
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position84% (149 of 177 open)81% (34 of 42 open)71% (70 of 98 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Economy −5 pts, n=114—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won—66% of 3918 at avg 64¢, ROI +1%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 7% of 1181)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 43% of 182)36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢—5% (won 68% of 182)35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up—61% (won 98% of 2373)20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BiggggggggBreakTheBankndb1
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4—Yes $293
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $170
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $421KNo $346K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $306KYes $12K
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $9—Yes $61K
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15—Yes $22