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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankextractive-manateeRN1
Record (consensus markets)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)35% (511–968, n=1479)47% (14377–16003, n=30380)
Consensus PnL$6.1M$11.0M$44K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #1was PM monthly #996PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)57% (64 of 113 open)42% (14 of 33 open)50% (37 of 74 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93—NBA −1 pts, n=322—
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%22% of 1570 at avg 21¢, ROI 0%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 81% of 57)71% (won 5% of 1111)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 201)12% (won 42% of 185)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 196)8% (won 64% of 130)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 109)9% (won 91% of 144)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankextractive-manateeRN1
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $52KNo $182—