← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | lava-lava | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 43% (440–585, n=1025) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $7.9M | $1.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 81% (25 of 31 open) | 60% (50 of 83 open) | 47% (15 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Finance −15 pts, n=14 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 41% of 880 at avg 39¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 48% (won 8% of 421) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 38% of 140) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 15% (won 70% of 131) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 21% (won 96% of 188) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | lava-lava | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $63K | Yes $9.6K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $50 | Yes $354 | — |