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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankVale54holi
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (571–700, n=1271)39% (291–447, n=738)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$34K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #118
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (13 of 23 open)83% (350 of 422 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Mentions −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)61% (won 1% of 161)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)3% (won 14% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)4% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)32% (won 96% of 85)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankVale54holi
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KNo $1.6K
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.6KNo $1.4K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
—No $182KNo $81
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
—No $12KNo $1.7K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $1.6K