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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | morito181 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 69% (525–240, n=765) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $1.1M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #132 + pinned | PM monthly #12 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 77% (114 of 148 open) | 69% (25 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | Mentions −13 pts, n=19 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 71% of 920 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 22% (won 6% of 201) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 5% (won 43% of 47) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 6% (won 54% of 57) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 67% (won 96% of 615) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | morito181 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.0M |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | — | No $35K | No $1.5M |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $16K | No $241K |