← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | morito181 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 69% (525–240, n=765) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) | 47% (12984–14433, n=27417) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $1.1M | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #133 + pinned | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 78% (116 of 148 open) | 71% (25 of 35 open) | 57% (33 of 58 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | morito181 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $20 | No $2.0M | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | — | No $36K | No $1.5M | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $16K | No $242K | — |