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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying88888BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)57% (211–156, n=367)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL-$5.7K$7.7M$4.1M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus52% (13 of 25 open)88% (30 of 34 open)67% (97 of 144 open)62% (8 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won100% of 112 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 50)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying88888BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $79Chargers $2.4K—Texans $2.7K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $1.1K——Texans $11K
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $5.6K——Cardinals $2.1K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $1.6K—T1 $5—
Lakers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $3.8K—Lakers $6.0K—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $613—Lakers $6.4K—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Cardinals $121Cardinals $5.5K