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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bot-rapin | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (20–0, n=20) | 52% (7654–6941, n=14595) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 63% (1095–631, n=1726) |
| Consensus PnL | $56K | $4.1M | $3.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #512 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #118 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (11 of 15 open) | 75% (235 of 313 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (70 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 11 at avg 98¢, ROI +9% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 100% (won 100% of 11) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bot-rapin | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $23K | No $1.1K | — | — |
| Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6.2K | No $208 | — | — |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.4K | No $111 | — | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.4K | — | No $41 |
| Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $150 | No $201 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Al Faisaly Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Diraiyah Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $16 | No $138 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.7K | Yes $2 | — | — |
| Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | Yes $191 | — | — |