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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| bot-rapin | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (3–0, n=3) | 52% (6399–5911, n=12310) | 65% (896–472, n=1368) |
| Consensus PnL | $39K | $3.3M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #511 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #100 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 77% (118 of 153 open) | 76% (31 of 41 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3 at avg 100¢, ROI 0% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 100% (won 100% of 3) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bot-rapin | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $23K | No $2.8K | — |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | No $768 | — |
| Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.9K | No $180 | — |
| Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.3K | No $364 | — |
| Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.2K | No $353 | — |
| Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $535 | No $1.1K | — |
| Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $460 | No $697 | — |