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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bullishkirby | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (101–33, n=134) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $83K | $3.5M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #928 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 99 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 120 at avg 80¢, ROI +6% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 22% of 9) | 0% | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 88% of 8) | 0% | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 82% of 11) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 77% (won 99% of 92) | 0% | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bullishkirby | 00gringo00 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $38K | — | — | Yes $272K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $14K | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.4K | — | — | No $590 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $23K | — | — | No $184K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $121 | — | — | Yes $77K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $7.3K | — | — | Yes $1.1K |