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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cambridgeisaac | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (582–407, n=989) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #867 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (56 of 93 open) | no open consensus position | 88% (130 of 148 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −5 pts, n=148 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 1367 at avg 65¢, ROI +7% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 6% of 259) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 28% of 109) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 72% of 152) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 92% of 847) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cambridgeisaac | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.2K | — | No $32K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.1K | — | No $25K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $300 | — | Yes $172K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $21 | — | Yes $14K | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $135 | — | Yes $2.6K | — |