← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cambridgeisaac | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (577–405, n=982) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $56K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #867 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (53 of 89 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (50 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections −5 pts, n=148 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 1367 at avg 65¢, ROI +7% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 6% of 259) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 28% of 109) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 72% of 152) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 92% of 847) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cambridgeisaac | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.2K | — | — | No $32K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.1K | — | — | No $26K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $296 | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $20 | — | — | Yes $14K |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $135 | — | — | Yes $2.6K |