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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 31% (51–111, n=162) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) |
| Consensus PnL | -$50K | $4.1M | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #665 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #67 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 64% (98 of 152 open) | 72% (108 of 150 open) | 50% (5 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 111 at avg 41¢, ROI +15% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 16% of 32) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 44% of 32) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 70% of 47) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | capnjack1497 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia vs. Texas Tech opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | West Virginia $108 | — | Texas Tech $2.4K |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $985 | No $18K | — |
| Texas State vs. Oregon State same side · consensus Texas State | — | Texas State $420 | — | Texas State $12K |
| Hawai'i vs. UTEP same side · consensus Hawai'i | — | Hawai'i $470 | — | Hawai'i $11K |